Chelsea vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1921 |
MID
0 - 1
CHL
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1921 |
CHL
1 - 2
TOT
49%
26%
26%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1921 |
TOT
0 - 0
CHL
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1921 |
PNE
2 - 0
CHL
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1921 |
CHL
0 - 0
PNE
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1921 |
MID
0 - 1
CHL
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1921 |
BUR
3 - 1
MID
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1921 |
MID
4 - 1
BUR
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1921 |
MID
1 - 1
NEW
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1921 |
NEW
0 - 0
MID
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |