Chelsea vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1910 |
BOL
5 - 2
CHL
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1910 |
CHL
0 - 0
ASV
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1910 |
PNE
2 - 0
CHL
57%
22%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1910 |
LIV
5 - 1
CHL
76%
14%
10%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1910 |
NEW
1 - 0
CHL
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1910 |
MID
0 - 5
BCF
60%
20%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1910 |
BOL
1 - 1
MID
56%
22%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1910 |
ARS
3 - 0
MID
52%
24%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1910 |
MID
4 - 0
SHW
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1910 |
SHE
2 - 0
MID
73%
16%
12%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |