Chelsea vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1907 |
LIV
1 - 4
CHL
73%
15%
12%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1907 |
CHL
3 - 4
BCF
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1907 |
PNE
2 - 4
CHL
58%
21%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1907 |
CHL
2 - 2
MAC
51%
21%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1907 |
CHL
1 - 0
BBU
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1907 |
SHE
0 - 0
MID
72%
16%
12%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1907 |
MID
3 - 1
LIV
43%
24%
33%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1907 |
ASV
6 - 0
MID
82%
11%
7%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1907 |
MID
0 - 2
BCF
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1907 |
PNE
1 - 1
MID
67%
18%
15%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |