Chelsea vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
30.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2009 |
CHL
2 - 1
EVE
78%
15%
7%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
SUN
2 - 3
CHL
14%
24%
62%
|
96 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
CHL
2 - 0
BBU
73%
18%
9%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ARS
1 - 4
CHL
39%
27%
34%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
CHL
1 - 1
FCB
45%
25%
30%
|
96 | 96 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
BYM
0 - 0
MUD
35%
27%
39%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
BOC
1 - 2
MUD
20%
26%
54%
|
97 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2009 |
FCB
2 - 0
MUD
43%
23%
34%
|
97 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
HUL
0 - 1
MUD
14%
23%
64%
|
97 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
MUD
0 - 0
ARS
60%
22%
19%
|
97 | 93 | 4 | 0 |