Chelsea vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
27.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2007 |
CHL
1 - 0
MUD
48%
23%
29%
|
95 | 95 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
CHL
1 - 1
EVE
75%
17%
8%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
CHL
0 - 0
MUD
49%
24%
27%
|
96 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
ARS
1 - 1
CHL
42%
27%
32%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2007 |
LIV
1 - 0
CHL
34%
28%
38%
|
96 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2007 |
CHL
1 - 0
MUD
48%
23%
29%
|
95 | 95 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
MUD
0 - 1
WHU
80%
14%
6%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
CHL
0 - 0
MUD
49%
24%
27%
|
95 | 96 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
MAC
0 - 1
MUD
13%
22%
66%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2007 |
ACM
3 - 0
MUD
36%
26%
38%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |