Chelsea vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1970 |
CHL
2 - 1
WHU
72%
18%
11%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1970 |
NTT
1 - 1
CHL
24%
25%
50%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1970 |
CHL
1 - 0
NEW
67%
20%
13%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1970 |
WBA
2 - 2
CHL
40%
25%
35%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1970 |
CHL
2 - 1
STO
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1970 |
DER
4 - 4
MUD
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1970 |
ASV
2 - 1
MUD
15%
19%
66%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1970 |
MUD
1 - 3
ARS
46%
27%
27%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1970 |
MUD
1 - 1
ASV
82%
12%
6%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1970 |
MUD
1 - 4
MAC
54%
25%
21%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |