Chelsea vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.2%
29%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1960 |
CHL
2 - 4
ASV
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1960 |
OPA
1 - 0
CHL
38%
22%
39%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1960 |
CAR
2 - 1
CHL
37%
24%
40%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1960 |
CHL
7 - 1
WBA
61%
19%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1960 |
NTT
2 - 1
CHL
40%
24%
37%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1960 |
BBU
1 - 2
MUD
40%
22%
38%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1960 |
FUL
4 - 4
MUD
43%
21%
36%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1960 |
MUD
1 - 0
PNE
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1960 |
CAR
3 - 0
MUD
26%
21%
53%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1960 |
MUD
3 - 0
WBA
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |