Chelsea vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
36.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1930 |
NEW
1 - 0
CHL
75%
15%
10%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1930 |
GRI
0 - 1
CHL
68%
18%
14%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1930 |
BCF
1 - 0
CHL
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1930 |
PNE
1 - 2
CHL
57%
21%
22%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1930 |
BRI
2 - 1
CHL
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1930 |
MID
3 - 1
MUD
58%
20%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1930 |
MUD
3 - 4
ASV
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1930 |
MUD
1 - 5
SHE
46%
23%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1930 |
LEE
3 - 1
MUD
55%
22%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1930 |
HUR
2 - 2
MUD
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |