Chelsea vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1921 |
BIR
5 - 1
CHL
56%
23%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1921 |
CHL
1 - 0
BBU
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1921 |
CHL
1 - 2
BIR
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1921 |
BBU
1 - 1
CHL
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1921 |
CHL
1 - 2
BBU
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1921 |
WBA
0 - 0
MUD
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1921 |
MUD
2 - 1
EVE
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1921 |
MUD
2 - 3
WBA
43%
26%
30%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1921 |
EVE
5 - 0
MUD
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1921 |
MUD
3 - 0
DER
61%
23%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |