Chelsea vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1915 |
CHL
4 - 1
WBA
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1915 |
BOL
3 - 1
CHL
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1915 |
SHW
3 - 2
CHL
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1915 |
BUR
2 - 0
CHL
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1915 |
CHL
3 - 0
SUN
34%
24%
42%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1915 |
SHE
3 - 1
MUD
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1915 |
MUD
2 - 2
MID
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1915 |
OLD
1 - 0
MUD
58%
22%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1915 |
BRA
5 - 0
MUD
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1915 |
NEW
2 - 0
MUD
52%
24%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |