Chelsea vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
38.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1912 |
NOT
0 - 0
CHL
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1912 |
CHL
2 - 3
MID
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1912 |
TOT
1 - 0
CHL
56%
22%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1912 |
CHL
3 - 1
DER
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1912 |
BBU
1 - 1
CHL
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1912 |
MUD
0 - 0
OLD
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1912 |
NEW
1 - 3
MUD
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1912 |
MUD
4 - 0
SHE
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1912 |
BOL
2 - 1
MUD
49%
24%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1912 |
MUD
3 - 1
LIV
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |