Chelsea vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
32.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1910 |
EVE
2 - 2
CHL
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1910 |
CHL
1 - 4
SUN
44%
23%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1910 |
SHE
0 - 0
CHL
72%
16%
12%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1910 |
NTT
0 - 0
CHL
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1910 |
CHL
3 - 1
BBU
48%
23%
29%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1910 |
MUD
2 - 1
BRI
69%
18%
14%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1910 |
MUD
5 - 0
BOL
82%
12%
7%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1910 |
ARS
0 - 0
MUD
37%
24%
38%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1910 |
MUD
1 - 0
SHE
62%
21%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1910 |
ASV
7 - 1
MUD
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |