Chelsea vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1909 |
CHL
1 - 1
BBU
69%
18%
14%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1909 |
SUN
1 - 2
CHL
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1909 |
ASV
0 - 0
CHL
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1909 |
CHL
1 - 1
SHE
62%
20%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1909 |
CHL
3 - 0
LIV
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1909 |
BUR
2 - 3
MUD
21%
23%
56%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1909 |
NTT
2 - 0
MUD
43%
24%
33%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1909 |
MUD
6 - 1
BBU
81%
12%
7%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1909 |
SHE
0 - 0
MUD
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1909 |
LIV
3 - 1
MUD
52%
22%
26%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |