Chelsea vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
32.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
BHA
3 - 1
CHL
9%
20%
71%
|
92 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
ALL
3 - 2
CHL
5%
19%
76%
|
92 | 64 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
BYM
1 - 1
CHL
46%
23%
31%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CHL
2 - 1
BBU
79%
14%
7%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2012 |
LIV
4 - 1
CHL
35%
26%
39%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
LIM
0 - 4
MAC
11%
22%
68%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
WOL
0 - 2
MAC
18%
24%
59%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
OLD
2 - 1
MAC
6%
19%
75%
|
93 | 56 | 37 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
ARS
0 - 2
MAC
41%
26%
33%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 0
BJK
84%
12%
5%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |