Chelsea vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1993 |
CRY
3 - 1
CHL
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1992 |
WIM
0 - 0
CHL
48%
25%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1992 |
CHL
1 - 1
SOU
52%
25%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1992 |
CHL
1 - 1
MUD
38%
29%
33%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1992 |
CHL
1 - 0
EVE
54%
26%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1993 |
MAC
1 - 1
REA
81%
13%
6%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1992 |
LIV
1 - 1
MAC
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1992 |
MAC
2 - 0
SHE
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1992 |
MAC
1 - 1
ASV
48%
27%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1992 |
IPS
3 - 1
MAC
35%
28%
37%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |