Chelsea vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
37.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
COV
3 - 2
CHL
70%
18%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
CHL
0 - 3
LEE
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
TOT
2 - 2
CHL
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1978 |
WOL
0 - 1
CHL
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1978 |
CHL
0 - 1
EVE
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
TWE
1 - 1
MAC
55%
25%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
MAC
3 - 0
LEE
61%
21%
18%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
NOR
1 - 1
MAC
40%
27%
32%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
MAC
1 - 4
LIV
46%
27%
28%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1978 |
MAC
1 - 1
ARS
61%
22%
18%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |