Chelsea vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
20.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1955 |
WOL
2 - 1
CHL
74%
15%
12%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1955 |
CHL
0 - 0
ASV
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1955 |
CHL
3 - 0
NEW
70%
16%
14%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1955 |
SUN
4 - 3
CHL
61%
20%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1955 |
BPO
2 - 1
CHL
56%
22%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1955 |
MAC
2 - 0
BPO
53%
21%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1955 |
HUR
3 - 3
MAC
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1955 |
MAC
3 - 1
CAR
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1955 |
ARS
0 - 0
MAC
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1955 |
MAC
1 - 0
MUD
47%
22%
32%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |