Chelsea vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1949 |
CHL
0 - 3
DER
47%
22%
31%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1949 |
MAC
1 - 0
CHL
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1949 |
MUD
1 - 1
CHL
70%
17%
14%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1949 |
CHL
5 - 0
HUR
67%
18%
16%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1949 |
ASV
1 - 1
CHL
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1949 |
MAC
1 - 1
SUN
51%
22%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1949 |
MAC
1 - 0
CHL
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1949 |
LIV
0 - 1
MAC
61%
21%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1949 |
MAC
1 - 0
BOL
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1949 |
DER
2 - 0
MAC
66%
18%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |