Chelsea vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
26.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1935 |
MAC
0 - 0
CHL
67%
18%
16%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1935 |
CHL
2 - 2
WOL
55%
21%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1935 |
PNE
2 - 0
CHL
51%
23%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1935 |
SHW
4 - 1
CHL
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1935 |
CHL
2 - 1
BRE
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1935 |
MAC
0 - 0
CHL
67%
18%
16%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1935 |
WOL
4 - 3
MAC
64%
17%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1935 |
MAC
5 - 0
ASV
62%
18%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1935 |
MID
2 - 0
MAC
56%
20%
24%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1935 |
MAC
3 - 0
SHW
54%
20%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |