Chelsea vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
34.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1932 |
ARS
4 - 1
CHL
77%
14%
9%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1932 |
CHL
1 - 0
EVE
41%
24%
35%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1932 |
LEE
2 - 0
CHL
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1932 |
CHL
0 - 2
SHW
41%
24%
36%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1932 |
WBA
3 - 2
CHL
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1932 |
MAC
3 - 1
OPA
61%
19%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1932 |
LEI
1 - 2
MAC
50%
21%
29%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1932 |
MAC
5 - 2
ASV
48%
22%
30%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1932 |
NEW
2 - 0
MAC
58%
20%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1932 |
MAC
4 - 1
WOL
72%
15%
13%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |