Chelsea vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
42%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1930 |
BBU
2 - 0
CHL
72%
16%
12%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1930 |
CHL
3 - 0
BPO
47%
23%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1930 |
BIR
6 - 2
CHL
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1930 |
CHL
1 - 0
SHE
35%
24%
41%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1930 |
HUR
1 - 1
CHL
64%
21%
16%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1930 |
MAC
4 - 2
MID
64%
18%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1930 |
LIV
0 - 2
MAC
57%
21%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1930 |
MAC
1 - 0
GRI
73%
15%
12%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1930 |
SHW
1 - 1
MAC
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1930 |
MAC
1 - 3
OPA
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |