Chelsea vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1922 |
CHL
1 - 1
WBA
48%
26%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1922 |
WBA
2 - 2
CHL
61%
22%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1922 |
CHL
1 - 0
CAR
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1922 |
CHL
1 - 0
OLD
54%
24%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1922 |
CAR
2 - 0
CHL
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1922 |
PNE
1 - 0
MAC
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1922 |
BRA
1 - 2
MAC
48%
26%
27%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1922 |
MAC
3 - 2
BRA
70%
17%
12%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1922 |
TOT
3 - 1
MAC
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1922 |
MAC
3 - 3
TOT
59%
22%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |