Chelsea vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1914 |
DER
0 - 1
CHL
66%
18%
16%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1914 |
LIV
3 - 0
CHL
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1914 |
CHL
2 - 0
SHE
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1914 |
MID
2 - 0
CHL
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1914 |
CHL
0 - 3
ASV
35%
26%
40%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1914 |
MAC
2 - 3
WBA
60%
22%
17%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1914 |
MAC
0 - 1
BOL
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1914 |
MAC
3 - 1
SUN
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1914 |
SHW
2 - 2
MAC
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1914 |
EVE
1 - 0
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |