Chelsea vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
27.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1907 |
CHL
1 - 0
BBU
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1907 |
NOT
2 - 0
CHL
51%
22%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1907 |
CHL
4 - 1
BRI
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1907 |
SHW
3 - 1
CHL
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1907 |
CHL
2 - 1
ARS
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1907 |
MID
2 - 0
MAC
39%
23%
38%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1907 |
MAC
1 - 1
LIV
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1907 |
ASV
2 - 2
MAC
63%
19%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1907 |
MAC
2 - 2
BCF
76%
14%
10%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1907 |
PNE
2 - 4
MAC
48%
22%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |