Chelsea vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1991 |
COV
1 - 0
CHL
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1991 |
CHL
1 - 2
LEE
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1991 |
CHL
0 - 2
SOU
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1991 |
SHE
1 - 0
CHL
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1991 |
CHL
3 - 2
MUD
34%
27%
38%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1991 |
LUT
0 - 0
TOT
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1991 |
SHE
2 - 1
LUT
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1991 |
MUD
4 - 1
LUT
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1991 |
LUT
0 - 1
NOR
46%
27%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1991 |
COV
2 - 1
LUT
51%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |