Chelsea vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
22.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1956 |
SUN
1 - 3
CHL
58%
20%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1956 |
CHL
1 - 3
CHA
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1956 |
BOL
2 - 2
CHL
54%
22%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1956 |
CHL
3 - 3
WOL
40%
23%
37%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1956 |
EVE
0 - 3
CHL
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1956 |
LUT
1 - 1
PNE
46%
23%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1956 |
BUR
1 - 1
LUT
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1956 |
LUT
0 - 1
WBA
49%
22%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1956 |
BIR
3 - 0
LUT
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1956 |
LUT
2 - 0
SHW
52%
21%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |