Champions League Semi-finals
Global 0-1
Chelsea vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
12.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
CHL
3 - 1
FUL
73%
18%
10%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
CHL
0 - 0
ARS
44%
26%
30%
|
94 | 94 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2005 |
BYM
3 - 2
CHL
41%
26%
32%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
CHL
1 - 1
BIR
77%
16%
7%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
CHL
4 - 2
BYM
54%
25%
22%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
CRY
1 - 0
LIV
23%
27%
50%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
OPA
1 - 2
LIV
34%
27%
40%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
LIV
2 - 2
TOT
54%
25%
21%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2005 |
JUV
0 - 0
LIV
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
MAC
1 - 0
LIV
38%
27%
35%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |