Chelsea vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2000 |
STG
2 - 0
CHL
27%
28%
45%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
MUD
3 - 3
CHL
68%
18%
13%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
CHL
0 - 2
LEI
67%
20%
13%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2000 |
CHL
1 - 0
STG
68%
20%
13%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
NEW
0 - 0
CHL
43%
26%
31%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2000 |
LIV
0 - 0
RAP
71%
18%
10%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
LIV
1 - 1
SUN
61%
21%
18%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
WHU
1 - 1
LIV
40%
26%
34%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2000 |
RAP
0 - 1
LIV
33%
27%
41%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
LIV
3 - 2
MAC
71%
18%
12%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | +1 |