Chelsea vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
27.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1963 |
CHL
2 - 0
BUR
34%
23%
43%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1963 |
SHE
1 - 1
CHL
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1963 |
BUR
0 - 0
CHL
72%
16%
12%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1963 |
CHL
0 - 0
WHU
48%
22%
30%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1963 |
CHL
7 - 0
OPA
67%
17%
16%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1963 |
NTT
0 - 0
LIV
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1963 |
LIV
1 - 2
BPO
60%
20%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1963 |
LIV
1 - 2
NTT
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1963 |
BBU
1 - 2
LIV
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1963 |
ASV
2 - 0
LIV
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |