Chelsea vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1946 |
BOL
1 - 1
CHL
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1946 |
PNE
1 - 1
CHL
66%
18%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1946 |
CHL
1 - 2
PNE
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1946 |
CHL
1 - 2
WOL
44%
23%
33%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1946 |
HUR
1 - 4
CHL
50%
23%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1946 |
LIV
1 - 2
SHE
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1946 |
LIV
2 - 0
STO
62%
19%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1946 |
STO
2 - 1
LIV
59%
20%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1946 |
LIV
4 - 1
ASV
65%
19%
17%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1946 |
SUN
1 - 4
LIV
53%
22%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |