Chelsea vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
34.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1931 |
CHL
2 - 1
WHU
37%
24%
39%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1931 |
MUD
1 - 0
CHL
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1930 |
CHL
5 - 0
GRI
48%
23%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1930 |
ASV
3 - 3
CHL
77%
14%
9%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1930 |
CHL
0 - 2
ASV
34%
24%
42%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1931 |
LIV
1 - 1
ASV
49%
22%
29%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1931 |
HUR
2 - 1
LIV
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1931 |
BOL
2 - 0
LIV
49%
23%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1931 |
LIV
3 - 1
MID
53%
21%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1930 |
BBU
3 - 3
LIV
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |