Chelsea vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1919 |
BUR
2 - 3
CHL
70%
17%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1919 |
CHL
0 - 1
BUR
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1919 |
NEW
3 - 0
CHL
58%
23%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1919 |
CHL
0 - 0
NEW
58%
23%
18%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1919 |
SUN
3 - 2
CHL
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1919 |
NEW
3 - 0
LIV
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1919 |
LIV
1 - 1
NEW
71%
18%
12%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1919 |
ASV
0 - 1
LIV
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1919 |
LIV
2 - 1
ASV
55%
21%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1919 |
ARS
1 - 0
LIV
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |