Chelsea vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1912 |
BOL
1 - 0
CHL
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1912 |
ASV
1 - 0
CHL
78%
13%
8%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1912 |
CHL
1 - 0
BRA
82%
12%
6%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1912 |
BAR
0 - 2
CHL
40%
24%
36%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1912 |
CHL
4 - 1
BPO
80%
13%
7%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1912 |
LIV
3 - 0
ARS
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1912 |
LIV
2 - 0
OLD
72%
17%
12%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1912 |
OLD
0 - 1
LIV
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1912 |
LIV
2 - 0
SHE
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1912 |
NEW
1 - 1
LIV
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |