Chelsea vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
19.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1909 |
CHL
2 - 2
NOT
70%
17%
12%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1909 |
CHL
1 - 0
LEI
78%
13%
9%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1909 |
CHL
3 - 1
BRI
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1909 |
BRA
3 - 0
CHL
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1909 |
NEW
1 - 3
CHL
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1909 |
NEW
0 - 1
LIV
72%
17%
12%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1909 |
LIV
2 - 2
BCF
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1909 |
LIV
3 - 0
SUN
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1909 |
LIV
1 - 2
SHW
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1909 |
EVE
5 - 0
LIV
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |