Chelsea vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
24.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1909 |
MID
1 - 4
CHL
62%
20%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1908 |
CHL
1 - 2
MAC
53%
21%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1908 |
MAC
1 - 2
CHL
70%
16%
13%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1908 |
BRI
1 - 0
CHL
60%
20%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1908 |
CHL
1 - 2
NEW
45%
25%
31%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1909 |
SUN
1 - 4
LIV
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1908 |
LIV
1 - 1
NTT
72%
15%
13%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1908 |
ASV
1 - 1
LIV
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1908 |
LIV
2 - 1
SHE
71%
16%
14%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1908 |
BCF
2 - 1
LIV
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |