Chelsea vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
CHL
3 - 2
NEW
42%
25%
33%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BRE
2 - 2
CHL
31%
25%
44%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
CHL
3 - 2
LEE
67%
20%
14%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CHL
0 - 1
LIV
10%
16%
75%
|
94 | 100 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MAC
1 - 1
CHL
82%
12%
6%
|
94 | 100 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
HUL
2 - 2
LEI
15%
21%
64%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
SUN
0 - 1
LEI
19%
22%
59%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LEI
1 - 2
QPR
73%
18%
9%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
BOU
0 - 1
LEI
34%
24%
42%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
LEE
3 - 1
LEI
32%
24%
44%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |