Chelsea vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
23%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1960 |
ASV
3 - 2
CHL
54%
21%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1960 |
CHL
1 - 5
WOL
34%
23%
43%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1960 |
BOL
2 - 0
CHL
58%
20%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1960 |
TOT
0 - 1
CHL
71%
15%
14%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1960 |
CHL
1 - 1
NTT
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1960 |
LEI
1 - 1
BPO
54%
21%
24%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1960 |
LEI
1 - 2
BOL
57%
21%
21%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1960 |
BBU
0 - 1
LEI
55%
21%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1960 |
LEI
2 - 1
BUR
47%
22%
31%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1960 |
LEI
3 - 3
EVE
58%
20%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |