Chelsea vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.6%
19.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1959 |
NEW
1 - 1
CHL
57%
20%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1959 |
CHL
2 - 2
NEW
57%
19%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1959 |
PNE
4 - 5
CHL
68%
17%
15%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1959 |
BPO
3 - 1
CHL
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1959 |
CHL
0 - 4
SHW
60%
19%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1959 |
PNE
1 - 1
LEI
66%
17%
17%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1959 |
LEI
2 - 2
PNE
42%
22%
36%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1959 |
LEI
2 - 1
WHU
49%
22%
30%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1959 |
WOL
0 - 3
LEI
81%
11%
8%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1959 |
LEI
3 - 3
LUT
62%
19%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |