Chelsea vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1938 |
MAC
1 - 0
CHL
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1938 |
CHL
2 - 0
EVE
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1938 |
SUN
1 - 1
CHL
67%
17%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1938 |
CHL
0 - 0
BOL
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1938 |
BRE
1 - 1
CHL
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1938 |
LEI
0 - 1
MID
46%
23%
31%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1938 |
LEI
3 - 3
OPA
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1938 |
LEE
0 - 2
LEI
63%
19%
18%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1938 |
PNE
0 - 0
LEI
62%
20%
19%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1938 |
LEI
2 - 2
LIV
53%
21%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |