Chelsea vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
36.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1931 |
ARS
2 - 1
CHL
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1931 |
CHL
1 - 0
LEE
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1931 |
CHL
1 - 0
BIR
43%
25%
33%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1931 |
MAC
2 - 0
CHL
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1931 |
CHL
3 - 2
BBU
35%
24%
41%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1931 |
LEI
1 - 1
WHU
65%
18%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1931 |
SHW
4 - 0
LEI
68%
17%
15%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1931 |
MUD
0 - 0
LEI
35%
24%
41%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1931 |
LEI
3 - 2
LIV
63%
18%
18%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1931 |
LEI
0 - 1
GRI
72%
15%
13%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |