Chelsea vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
33%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1933 |
ARS
2 - 1
CHL
77%
14%
9%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1933 |
CHL
1 - 2
MAC
42%
24%
34%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1933 |
EVE
2 - 1
CHL
77%
14%
10%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1933 |
CHL
1 - 1
BIR
48%
24%
27%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1933 |
WBA
3 - 1
CHL
69%
17%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1933 |
LEE
3 - 3
WOL
54%
22%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1933 |
SHE
2 - 1
LEE
57%
21%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1933 |
LEE
2 - 0
STO
61%
20%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1933 |
LEI
2 - 2
LEE
61%
20%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1933 |
LEE
0 - 0
TOT
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |