Chelsea vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1931 |
CHL
1 - 0
BIR
43%
25%
33%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1931 |
MAC
2 - 0
CHL
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1931 |
CHL
3 - 2
BBU
35%
24%
41%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1931 |
BPO
2 - 1
CHL
62%
19%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1931 |
CHL
0 - 3
BIR
48%
23%
29%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1931 |
LEE
3 - 0
WHU
50%
22%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1931 |
SHW
2 - 1
LEE
74%
15%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1931 |
LEE
1 - 2
ARS
42%
23%
35%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1931 |
LEE
1 - 0
NEW
53%
22%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1931 |
MID
5 - 0
LEE
63%
19%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |