Chelsea vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
44.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
WHU
0 - 0
CHL
35%
26%
39%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2000 |
FEY
1 - 3
CHL
41%
27%
32%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
CHL
1 - 1
EVE
67%
20%
14%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2000 |
CHL
1 - 0
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
NEW
0 - 1
CHL
43%
25%
32%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
VER
1 - 0
LAZ
20%
26%
55%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2000 |
LAZ
5 - 1
MAR
75%
16%
9%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
LAZ
2 - 2
INT
63%
20%
17%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2000 |
FEY
0 - 0
LAZ
29%
27%
44%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
LEC
0 - 1
LAZ
18%
25%
57%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |