Chelsea vs Ipswich Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
4.7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
WOL
1 - 0
CHL
11%
20%
69%
|
94 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
CHL
3 - 3
ASV
76%
15%
9%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2010 |
CHL
1 - 0
BOL
83%
12%
5%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2010 |
ARS
3 - 1
CHL
43%
25%
33%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
TOT
1 - 1
CHL
32%
25%
43%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ipswich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
IPS
0 - 1
NTT
45%
28%
28%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
COV
1 - 1
IPS
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
IPS
3 - 0
LEI
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
PNE
1 - 0
IPS
40%
27%
34%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
IPS
1 - 3
SWA
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |