Qualif. Champions Tercera ronda Final
Global 5-0
Chelsea vs Žilina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
CHL
2 - 1
LEI
76%
16%
9%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
LIV
1 - 2
CHL
25%
27%
48%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2003 |
ZIL
0 - 2
CHL
23%
26%
51%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
CHL
2 - 1
LIV
70%
18%
12%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
WHU
1 - 0
CHL
26%
26%
48%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Žilina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
TRE
2 - 0
ZIL
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2003 |
ZIL
0 - 2
CHL
23%
26%
51%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
ZIL
2 - 2
BRA
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
MTA
1 - 1
ZIL
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
TNV
0 - 0
ZIL
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |