Chelsea vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
DER
3 - 1
CHL
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1999 |
ACM
1 - 1
CHL
56%
24%
20%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
CHL
2 - 3
ARS
52%
26%
23%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1999 |
GAL
0 - 5
CHL
51%
24%
25%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
LIV
1 - 0
CHL
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
S04
1 - 1
HER
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1999 |
HER
1 - 4
GAL
44%
25%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
HER
1 - 1
STU
47%
24%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1999 |
HER
1 - 0
ACM
35%
27%
38%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
BYM
3 - 1
HER
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |