Chelsea vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
24.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1939 |
DER
0 - 1
CHL
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1939 |
CHL
0 - 1
GRI
58%
20%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1939 |
CHL
1 - 3
BRE
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1939 |
CHL
3 - 1
SHW
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1939 |
ARS
1 - 0
CHL
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1939 |
GRI
3 - 1
STO
59%
21%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1939 |
CHL
0 - 1
GRI
58%
20%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1939 |
BIR
1 - 1
GRI
52%
22%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1939 |
GRI
2 - 1
ARS
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1939 |
GRI
0 - 2
MID
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |