Chelsea vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
29.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1932 |
CHL
1 - 0
LEI
46%
23%
32%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1932 |
ASV
1 - 3
CHL
84%
10%
6%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1932 |
HUR
2 - 1
CHL
64%
19%
16%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1932 |
CHL
4 - 0
MID
36%
22%
41%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1932 |
BOL
1 - 0
CHL
65%
19%
17%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1932 |
ARS
4 - 0
GRI
73%
15%
12%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1932 |
GRI
5 - 1
LIV
44%
22%
34%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1932 |
GRI
2 - 2
ASV
39%
22%
38%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1932 |
LEI
1 - 2
GRI
70%
15%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1932 |
NEW
2 - 0
GRI
68%
16%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |