Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 9-3
Chelsea vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
10.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
QPR
0 - 4
CHL
31%
25%
44%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1968 |
COV
0 - 1
CHL
40%
25%
35%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1968 |
CHL
1 - 1
EVE
51%
26%
24%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1968 |
CHL
2 - 2
TOT
51%
25%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1968 |
CHL
1 - 0
SHW
66%
21%
14%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
KIL
1 - 0
GRE
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1968 |
GRE
2 - 0
FAL
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1968 |
GRE
0 - 5
GLA
57%
20%
23%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1968 |
GRE
0 - 3
CEL
40%
23%
38%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1968 |
PAR
2 - 0
GRE
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |