Chelsea vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
6.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
TOT
0 - 0
CHL
40%
26%
34%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
CHL
2 - 0
WBA
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
MAC
0 - 3
CHL
36%
26%
38%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
LIV
1 - 0
CHL
57%
23%
20%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2002 |
VKG
4 - 2
CHL
33%
26%
40%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
GRI
1 - 1
GIL
34%
26%
41%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2002 |
GIL
0 - 4
WOL
41%
26%
34%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
IPS
0 - 1
GIL
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
GIL
3 - 0
WAT
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
ROT
1 - 1
GIL
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |